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Data: 30% of women in US will have abortion during lifetime at current rates
Q:What percentage of women will have an abortion sometime in their lifetime at current termination rates?
A: 30.09%
How did we calculate this figure?
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Latest annual U.S. abortion rate via Guttmacher Institute: 1.21 Million
Approximately 48% of all abortions are repeat abortions according to the Guttmacher Institute Abortion Patient Surveys cited on p. 62 of their report, “Abortion Patient Surveys“. This mean that 52% of abortions are first-time abortions or 629,000 of 1.21 Million abortions annual.
The 2010 U.S. census shows the following number of women in the U.S. at a given age:
This results in the following number of weighted 5-year women’s population: 10,455,464
Because the above data is in 5 year chunks, the 10,455,464 figure must be divided by 5 to get the annual number of women eligible for abortions which equals 2,091,093
The 2,091,093 annual women’s population figure is divided into the annual number of 1st time abortion which was calculated above as 629,000. This yield a rate of 30.09%
While the Guttmacher Institute does not provide their own exact calculation as provided abortion, they do state the following:
“At least half of American women will experience an unintended pregnancy by age 45, and, at current rates, nearly one-third will have had an abortion”
This is generally consistent with our analysis of the data although it may be more accurate to say 3 in 10 or 30% women will have a termination procedure in their lifetime at current rates.
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